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A controversial hit that sparked debate among businessmen, environmentalists, and bloggers, The Long Emergency by James Howard Kunstler is an eye-opening look at the unprecedented challenges we face in the years ahead, as oil runs out and the global systems built on it are forced to change radically.
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Product details
Paperback: 336 pages
Publisher: Grove Press; 1st Edition. edition (March 2, 2006)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0802142494
ISBN-13: 978-0802142498
Product Dimensions:
6 x 0.9 x 8.9 inches
Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
4.0 out of 5 stars
322 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#186,607 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
Incredible. I was blown way when I read this book several years ago. I had never read any thing quite so pessimistic and troubling. Kunstler is a great writer and very out spoken critic of Americas failures, primarily social and political. This book is a warning to our civilization that is operating in a completely unsustainable manner. Although some of the predictions have not panned out as predicted the contention remains pertinent. I hints are still unravelling. He might be right in his prediction but slightly off on the timing. Do yourself a favour read this book and contemplate the consequences of what is said.
I'm a radical and I do think our current industrial way of life will be over this century, but I wouldn't recommend this book. He does discuss many important issues, but I think there are better authors on the subjects, whether on peak oil or anthropology or history. He makes A LOT of assertions without evidence (he seems to me a hack pundit rather than an expert) and loads of predictions about our future, so it's very hit and miss (it seems like there are hundreds of mistakes in this book). For example, he rightly talks about the housing bubble and how suburbia isn't sustainable, but then he also talks about how shale gas isn't economically viable (fracking?) and how peak oil would be between 2000 and 2008 (we're still not there it seems). This book is not only human-focused, but American-focused. He mostly talks about the industrious people in America, leaving out the non-industrious poor. He doesn't make any deep criticism of our culture or past, leaving out a lot about how we got to be such a destructive and individualistic state.Good points:1. 2008 recession. He predicted the housing bubble.2. He criticizes consumerism, suburbia, and car culture.3. He rightly says our culture is dying, and that we will be moving into a "Long Emergency".Bad points (these are some examples, there are hundreds of mistakes and loads of junk commentary/predictions in this book):1. Racism. He lumps Muslims together in chapter 3 for criticism about fundamentalism, and lumps blacks together for criticism in chapter 7. Chapter 3 sounds a lot like what comes out of the mouth of neoconservatives like Thomas Friedman. He seems to support the war in Iraq.2. He leaves out much popular social criticism about our industrial way of thinking, commitment and individualism in America: see Morris Berman, Philip Slater, Robert Bellah, World-Systems Analysis.3. He leaves out anthropology, especially when talking about culture and community. He doesn't mention older traditions and ways of living, especially tribal cultures.4. He says that natives will one day reinhabit the Great Plains. This seems far-fetched.5. Throughout the book, he says anarchy = chaos and violence. I don't think he's read radical literature, as the word means "without leaders". Read The Democracy Project by David Graeber.6. He says humans have always made transactions with money. This is false: anthropologists recognize we first had credit before anything else: read Debt: The First 5,000 Years7. He doesn't discuss pre-scientific thought: people in industrialized countries drastically changed our way of thinking 400 years ago, but he doesn't really address this. Read, "Reenchantment of The World" by Morris Berman.8. Peak oil. He said shale gas wouldn't be economically viable (he didn't anticipate fraking), and we'd hit peak between 2000 and 2008. He was wrong on both points, but I do believe the peak oil discussion is important. There is good writing about peak oil on smartplanet.com, and discussion by EIA, USGS, and university professors and other authors. It seems peak oil will occur closer to mid-century than right now. That's still really close, so definitely important to talk about!8. He focuses on peak oil above all reasons that we will enter the "Long Emergency", though it seems like other things could be important as well. There is also pollution, loss of biodiversity, destruction of ecosystems, overconsumption, lack of commitment in American life. Also our economy is based on debt, and it seems like another recession could really mess the system up. He doesn't mention world-systems analysis.
OK, when you read this and meet the Dark Side Of The Force (which really does seem to be us, especially those we elect to *represent* us in government office)... If you're not scared of the dark side now, you will be. You. Will. Be. It's very hard to say you like a book that seems to so accurately pinpoint our past failings and even worse the *fixes* we're making now all in the name of what basically will be the end of the world for humans (our world will adapt and move on, but humans I think already have experienced the pinnacle of the miracles of *modern life* as it pertains to them), but I do like it very much. After picking it up just as a sort of general interest thing (after just finishing a book talking about fracking and all the other ways we are ruining our one and only home's ability to support us in ANY sort of comfort in the ever-tougher-but-never-ending (although there will BE an ending) search for that sweet crude that is the foundation for all we find comfortable-to-essential for *modern* life). I found the history of the rise and the author's ideas about the fall of this civilization -- all based on the use of fossil fuels that can NOT be renewed -- very fascinating reading. When I was a kid in high school, working in a gas station during the first (and worst) of the *oil shortages* and learned the outlines at least of what was happening to us basically for nothing other than greed (my assertion, I don't know particularly that the author could pick one cause-for-all-that-is-coming to man from his own actions), and never have gotten over the shock of the shortages (especially after the 2nd one!) of something (fossil fuels) that is finite and will end soon. We had the *crises*, then ... what, it just ended? The non-renewable resource had been replenished somehow? And then we had the SECOND GAS CRISES! Then -- poof! -- that, too seemed to somehow disappear by nothing more than the waving of political magic wands. A liter (somewhere between a quart and a gallon) back then started to cost $8.00 per and up, but our prices went right on back to *normal*. We are STILL complaining about the cost of something everyone seems to have hypnotized everyone else into believing will never end at 3 and 4 bucks a gallon! We're at war all over the globe (but the mid-east seems a particular *hot-spot*). Everything the U.S. did wrong to get to this disposable, wasteful, use-it-and-forget-it lifestyle everyone else now wants to do so they too can have their equivalent of *the American dream*. This book is trying to tell us it isn't a dream anymore -- that WE MAY ALREADY HAVE PASSED THE POSSIBLE PINNACLE OF OUR CIVILIZATION since the oil on which it all was based is going away. Everyone still seems to be doing their best to believe the CATASTROPHE looming on the horizon (where all the boys and girls have nukes now) won't happen, and still -- the oil is running out. Now, we are busily poisoning what's left of our fresh water (through *fracking*) to make the ever-smaller quantities of oil keep producing at rates they no longer can sustain. It is WAY past time to yell stop, in my opinion. The "Long Emergency" about which the author writes has the serious potential to be the end of mankind on earth (and just by looking around, one can tell THE LONG EMERGENCY already has begun) and still, everything seems to be business as usual. Places all over the United States that used to have large, pure, mostly self-sustaining clean water to drink now can literally turn on the tap, wait a few moments, hold up a source of fire to what should be *tap-water* and instead FIRE comes out. We really need to get going (it's past too late, but we MUST start!) on this stuff, or THE LONG EMERGENCY may instead become *The End of Man on Planet Earth." A VERY good read that, without advocating violence or other counter-productive measures, is trying to tell everyone something they desperately need to hear -- an excellent and highly recommended read. Be ready for shocks and examples of idiocy almost beyond the ability to comprehend, but please, buy it, read it, and if you can, do SOMETHING, almost ANYTHING to ensure that others also know what is happening and what could happen. This no longer (in my opinion) is something only *our kids* and future generations will have to deal with. It already has started, and we need to start doing something intelligent and productive about it RIGHT NOW!
I've been reading Kunstler's stuff (rantings, entertaining cultural and architectural criticism on his blog, whatever you want to call it) for more than a few years now, but for some reason, never got to this book (probably his central one). Even as read nine or more years after its publication, it does not strike any false notes. Of course the dire predictions that Kunstler makes have (mostly) not yet happened. Will they? Uh, gee, most of us hope not. But likely? Probably!This is not conspiracy theory kind of stuff, or the ravings of a guy detached from reality. I have lived through most of the latter 20th century that Kunstler so breathtakingly reviews, and for me he strikes no false notes.It was as it was, and very few of his comments are off target.So read it, and weep.
Another well-written, extremely well-researched book by Kuntsler. Provocative and detailed, it'll make you think twice about the rest of your life. (However long that is.) Written in 2005 with a couple of updates, it's still very timely. I wish some policy makers were reading this information.
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